Santos – Avai PREDICTION & TIPS
Santos and Avaí meet at Estadio Urbano Caldeira in a match for the 38th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Both teams drew 0-0 on 06-08-2017, the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league. The record of recent direct confrontations favors the home team, who in the last 3 matches won 1 and drew 2. The home / away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a match between 3rd and º of the overall ranking, in fact this is a confrontation between the 2nd place in home games and the 14th as a visitor.
Analysis of Santos
The home team is currently in 3rd place with 62 points, after 17 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, he won at home to Grêmio by (1-0). In the last match, he won away to Flamengo by (1-2). This is a stronger team in their stadium, where they won 39 points, against only 23 in their games as a visitor. In the last 10 home games for the championship, Santos has 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, having won 23 points out of 30. In his home games there are some frequent scorers: 0-0 (10 in 18 matches) and 1-0 (7 in 18 matches). The team have conceded goals to their opponents in 8 of the last 10 games, so they have not shown great defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, as they managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home matches there is a tendency to few goals, since 11 of his last 18 games in the competition finished with Less than 1.5 goals. In 37 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 11 times and only got 1 turn on the scoreboard. There are 1 highlights in the last 18 home games in this competition: he suffered 5 of his 11 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
Santos have suffered three consecutive defeats in this final stretch of the Brasileirão but have managed to recover, and now have the chance to engage their third consecutive win, which, depending on the other results, may win the runner-up. In the last round, the team did not have a great performance, having finished only three times, against 28 of Flamengo, but showed a lot of opportunism, and with the help of goalkeeper Muralha, managed to leave the field with three points. As was evident in this match, Santos’s offensive sector did not perform well throughout the competition, in order to make clear the great importance of the defense in this good campaign of the team, since it is the second less leaked of the championship. As patron, the São Paulo club owns the third best campaign, and in this condition has the best defense. The 4-2-1-3 should be the tactical configuration used in this duel by the coach, who already has two important embezzled confirmed: Alison and Ricardo Oliveira, who comply with suspension.
Avaí Analysis
After 10 wins, 12 draws and 15 losses, the visiting team is in the 1st position and has not won any point. In the last match, he beat Atletico-PR at home (1-0), having won the home game in a game against Palmeiras (2-1). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it achieves practically the same points at home and away, with 15 goals scored and 20 goals conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 27 suffered as a visitor. His last away game for this competition ended with a 2-2 draw against Cruzeiro. In the last 10 out-of-competition games, Avaí has 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, having won 11 points out of 30. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 games but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 37 games in this competition, he never managed to get back on the scoring in the 16 games in which he suffered the first goal. There are 1 highlights in the last 18 matches played as a visitor to this competition: he scored 6 of his 14 goals in the minutes (16’-30 ‘).
Avaí enters the field for this match needing to do their best to try to win the three points and increase their chances of escaping relegation, since it still depends on other results. In the last round of the Brazilian Championship, the team played a balanced game against Atletico Paranaense, but even with little possession, managed to leave the field with the victory. However, in this confrontation, the inefficiency of the offensive sector was evident, which was confirmed throughout the competition, being one of the main causes of the disastrous campaign of the team. The attack from Santa Catarina is the worst of the championship, being also the one that ends the least. Playing away from home, the club won less than 34% of the points it played so far, and in that condition scored only thirteen goals.
Santos – Avai FREE TIPS
Santos – Win @ 2.00
Both teams to score / YES @ 1.80
Over 4.5 Goals @ 1.90
