Boavista and Belenenses meet at the Estádio do Bessa Século XXI in a match for the 19th round of the Primera Liga. The two teams tied (0-0) on 19-08-2016, the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league. The history of direct matches played at this stadium favors the home team, who in the last 4 games won 2, drew 1 and lost 1. However, in the last clash in this stadium, for the League Cup, 08-10-2016, the Belenenses won by (0-1). Dinis Almeida (62 ‘) scored the only goal of the match. It is necessary to analyze with special attention the home / outside condition, since Boavista presents different results at home and abroad.
After 6 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in 9th place, having won 24 points. In the last game, he beat Arouca away by (1-2), after having drawn (3-3) away in a game against Benfica. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses as a visitor, with 16 goals scored and 22 conceded; Against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats in his stadium, with 16 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last eight home games for the championship, Boavista has won 3, 2 and 3 draws, so they have won 11 points out of 24. In the matches played in their championship stadium, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 ‘was 1-0, which occurred in 3 of their 8 matches. The team conceded goals in 7 out of the last 10 games, so it has not shown great defensive solidity, but their attack has been regularly scored, as it managed to achieve in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 8 times and only got 1 turnaround.
Boavista’s team has an excellent period in the Portuguese championship and now has five consecutive games without proving the taste of defeat. Of note is that in the last game Boavista won away from home the Arouca by 1-2. In this game against Belenenses coach Miguel Leal should keep the team in 4-3-3 benefiting possession of the ball and organized attacks, especially through the right aisle: Renato Santos is a very fast and strong player in this type of transition. In addition, this player is one of the best finalizers of the checkered class with 3 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on Iuri Medeiros, punished, besides Gegé, Karl and Nuno Valente, both injured.
After 5 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 12th place, having won 20 points. In the last game, he lost to Vitória de Setúbal at home (1-2), after having won 1-0 at home against Rio Ave in the previous game. This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with a total of 12 goals scored and 19 conceded; Against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in his stadium, with a total of 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. The last game as a visitor to this competition ended with a 1-0 loss to Moreirense. In the last 9 away games for the championship the Belenenses record 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, reason why it conquered 8 points in 27 possible. In the matches played out for the championship, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 ‘was 0-0, which occurred in 4 of their 9 matches. In their away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 7 of their last 9 games for this competition finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 18 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 9 times and only got 1 turnaround. There have been 2 periods in the last 8 meetings played as a visitor for all competitions: he scored 4 of his 6 goals in the minutes (61’-75 ‘); Suffered 5 of his 8 goals in the minutes (76’-90 ‘).
Prediction for Boavista vs Belenenses
The Belenenses side start with a 1: 1 defeat at home to Vitória de Setúbal, adding to their eighth defeat in this competition: the only goal was to be fired by Tiago Caeiro. In this rendezvous, coach Quim Machado should play in 4-3-3, benefiting the defensive organization and the counterattacks, exploiting the defensive fragility of the opponent. Abel Camará remains top of the best of Belenenses with 3 goals scored. It seems that the coach can not rely on Spalvis, a player to recover from injury.
This game places two teams that cross many different players in this competition, since Boavista has not lost five consecutive games, and Belenenses has only 2 wins in the last 10 games. In this way, we believe that Boavista dominates and enjoys the best opportunities to score goals, so that betting on victory with protection in a possible tie is of great value.
Prediction: Boavista 0 Asian Handicap
Odds: 1.55
