Wales vs Croatia Prediction & Tips
Wales and Croatia play at the Millennium Stadium in a UEFA European Championship qualifier. The home factor could play a decisive role in this match, as Croatia have shown differences in performance in their home and away games.
After 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, the home team is currently in 4th place with 7 points. In their last match, they won (0-2) away to Latvia, after losing (2-0) away to Turkey in the previous match. This is a team little affected by the home factor, i.e. it has similar results home and away, as in the last 30 matches it has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats as a visitor, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded, compared to 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats at home, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last international friendly, they beat Gibraltar at home 4-0. In their last 10 home games, Wales have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. Their attack has scored regularly and they have managed to score in 4 of their last 5 games in this competition. In 15 games, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never managed to turn the game around.
Wales go into this game on the back of a 4-0 friendly win over Gibraltar. In their last outing in this qualifying round, the Welsh beat Latvia 0-2. The home side usually play a 3-4-3 tactical system, favoring a more attacking style of play, attacking through the wings. In this formation, the three players responsible for occupying the most advanced part of the pitch are Daniel James, Harry Wilson and Kieffer Moore, with the latter being particularly adept at finishing. For this game, coach Robert Page should be very pleased to have all the pieces available.
The away team are currently in 2nd place with 10 points after 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. In their penultimate match, they won away to Armenia (0-1). In their last match, they lost at home to Turkey (0-1). This is a team that has curiously been stronger away than at home, as in the last 30 games it has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats as a visitor; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats at its home stadium. In their last 10 away games, Croatia have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1. Their attack has scored regularly, scoring in 4 of their last 5 games in this competition. In their away games there is a tendency for few goals, as 5 of their last 11 games have ended with less than 1.5 goals and 7 out of 11 have ended with less than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they have managed to turn the game around in 4 of the 6 games in which they conceded the first goal. In the last 11 away games in all competitions, 1 period stands out: they conceded 5 of their 8 goals between the hour mark (31′-45′).
Croatia go into this game on the back of a 0-1 defeat at the hands of Turkey, their first setback in this qualifying round. The visiting team is expected to play a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a more organized style of play, with the three most advanced men being Josip Brekalo, Mario Pasalic and Bruno Petkovic. In any case, it’s expected that Croatia will adopt a more attacking stance, given that they have a superior squad. All the players are available for this match.
Wales – Croatia FREE TIPS
Wales – Win @ 3.25
