Troyes vs Marseille Prediction & Tips
Goal difference is the only thing separating Troyes from the bottom of the Ligue 1 (L1) standings at the start of the day, with coach Bruno Irlès under pressure after just six games in the ‘ESTAC’ (G1, E1, P4). His team has conceded nine goals in the last two games, more than in the previous seven (eight).
Seeing as each of Troyes’ last eight home results has been different from the last (G2, D3, P3), the team will need more home consistency to avoid fourth straight relegation just a year after returning to L1. In the second parts is where he needs to improve the most, since he has only managed 18% of his goals after the break, the lowest percentage in the league.
Following a 2-0 home loss to Clermont last week, Marseille reacted well to qualify for the UEFA Europa Conference League round of 16 by beating Qarabağ 3-0 on weekdays. In this match they face another newly promoted team hoping to improve on the paltry 46% of possible points achieved against such teams (W6, E3, P4).
Having won their previous three L1 games against Troyes, Marseille could claim a fourth in a row for the first time in their history. The away team have been in great form away from home, recording six wins in their last seven away games (P1), scoring the first goal in all of them – and in six cases doing so before half-time.
Players to watch: Troyes’ Mama Baldé will be under a lot of pressure as if he doesn’t score he will go 12 clean sheets for the first time in his career. Dimitri Payet is a strong candidate to be Marseille’s hero, as he has contributed to four goals in the last three times he has faced Troyes (G1, A3).
Highlight: Home teams have only won 15% of the 2021/22 Ligue 1 matches refereed by François Letexier – the lowest figure among all referees with 10+ matches.
Troyes – Marseille FREE TIPS
Marseille – Win @ 1.75
