Qarabag vs O. Ljubljana Prediction & Tips
Qarabağ and Olimpija play in the second leg of the Europa League (Play-offs), following Qarabağ’s 0-2 away win in the first leg. The home factor could play an important role in this match, as both teams have significant differences in their home and away results.
This is a team that curiously has more positive results away than at home, as in their last 30 matches they’ve recorded 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats as visitors, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats at home, with 30 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the Premyer Liqa, they drew 1-1 at home to Kapaz. In their last 10 home games, Qarabağ have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat. The team has conceded goals to its opponents in 7 of the last 10 games, so its defense needs to improve, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has managed to score in 9 of the last 10 games. In 13 games, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but managed to turn the game around 2 times.
Qarabağ go into this match on the back of a 1-1 draw against Kapaz in the Azerbaijan Premier League. In the first leg of this stage of the Europa League, the hosts beat Olimpija 0-2. The home side usually play in a 4-3-3 formation, favoring offensive transitions and channeling their attack through the side lanes. Leandro Andrade, Abdellah Zoubir and Redon Xhixha will be the three arrows aimed at the enemy’s crossbar. Out for this game are Abbas Hüseynov and Marko Vesovic, both with fitness problems.
Olimpija are a stronger team when they play in their own stadium, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 30 games as visitors, compared to 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their own stadium. In their last match, for the 1. SNL, they lost 2-4 at home to Celje. In their last 10 away games, Olimpija have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5. They have conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of their last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, scoring in 7 of their last 10 games. In 15 games, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only managed 2 comebacks. In their last 17 away games in all competitions, there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 9 of their 23 goals between the hour mark (76′-90′); they have conceded 8 of their 22 goals between the minute mark (16′-30′).
Olimpija come into this match on the back of a 2-4 defeat to Celje in the Slovenian league. In the first game of this stage of the Europa League, the visitors lost 0-2 to Qarabağ. As the “enemy” in this match, the away team will play a 4-3-3 tactical system, with the aim of making the most of their progression up the pitch through short passes. In this design, the three men who will cause panic in the “enemy” defense should be Rui Pedro, Svit Seslar and Pedro Lucas Schwaizer. David Sualehe is out due to suspension.
Qarabag – O. Ljubljana FREE TIPS
OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.25
