Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Tips
Napoli and AC Milan meet at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in a match on matchday 10 of Serie A TIM. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the away side, who have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, but their last meeting at this stadium, in a UEFA Champions League match on 18-04-2023, was a 1-1 draw. The goals were scored by Victor Osimhen (90′ ) for Napoli and Olivier Giroud (43′ ) for Milan. The home/away condition deserves special attention, as although this is a match between 4th and 2nd in the standings, this is actually a clash between the 14th-placed team in home games and the 1st-placed team away.
After 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, the home side are in 4th place, having taken 17 points. In their last match, they beat Hellas Verona away (1-3), after losing the previous game at home to Fiorentina (1-3). This is a team that usually achieves more positive results as a visitor than at home, having won 11 points away, scoring 12 goals and conceding 4, and 6 points at home, with 8 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last UEFA Champions League match, they beat FC Union Berlin away 0-1. In their last 4 home league games, Napoli have won 2 and lost 2, taking 6 points out of a possible 12. Their attack has scored regularly and they have managed to score in 8 of their last 9 games in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home games, as 23 of their last 26 matches have ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 9 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and only managed to turn the game around once.
Napoli go into this match on the back of a 0-1 win over Union Berlin in a Champions League group stage match. Last time out in Serie A, they beat Verona 1-3. The home side usually play a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions, mainly through the wings. In this design, the three players responsible for causing panic in the “enemy” defense are Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Matteo Politano and Giacomo Raspadori. Out for this game are Victor Osimhen and André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, both with fitness problems.
After 7 wins and 2 defeats, the away team are in 2nd place with 21 points. In their last match, they lost 0-1 at home to Juventus, having won 0-1 away to Genoa in their previous match. This is a team that usually achieves more positive results on the road than at home, having won 12 points away and 9 at home, with 7 goals scored and 2 goals conceded at home, compared to 9 goals scored and 7 conceded on the road. In their last UEFA Champions League match, they lost 3-0 away to Paris Saint Germain. In their last 5 away league games, Milan have won 4 and lost 1, taking 12 points out of a possible 15. Their attack has scored regularly, scoring in 8 of their last 9 league games. In the last 20 away games in all competitions, there’s been one period that stands out: they’ve scored 9 of their 24 goals between the posts (31′-45′).
AC Milan go into this game on the back of a 3-0 defeat at PSG in a Champions League match. Last time out in Serie A, the visitors lost 0-1 to Juventus. The away side play a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring defensive organization and counter-attacks down the flanks. In this design, the three players responsible for occupying the most advanced area of the pitch are Rafael Leão, Christian Pulisic and Olivier Giroud. Ismaël Bennacer, Mattia Caldara and Samuel Chukwueze are all out with fitness problems.
Napoli – AC Milan FREE TIPS
OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.25
