Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Tips
While a 90th-minute equaliser denied Freiburg the chance to overtake Leipzig in the Bundesliga’s top five last weekend, they were lucky during that game and a point may seem like a good return after registering just 22% of the shots taken in the match as well as 33% of the possession. However, it is that stubbornness that has allowed Freiburg to earn their most points at this point in a top flight season in the three points per win era as they continue to dream of qualifying for European competition.
Stability is key for a Freiburg side that recently extended Christian Streich’s contract beyond this season in what is his 11th consecutive season in charge, making him the longest serving coach in the Bundesliga. Streich has led the team to a solid unbeaten run of 14 home league games in his last 16 such matches (G8, E6), although he recorded just five clean sheets in that span (31%).
After being in danger of their first relegation in a century, Wolfsburg appear to be on the road to recovery after losing just one of their last five league games (G3, E1) – a run that has seen them move eight points clear of the bottom three. Despite their improvement, 31 points still represents their worst record at this stage in six of their last eight seasons in Germany’s top flight.
A thrilling 2-2 draw against Gladbach in their last away game gave Wolfsburg an unbeaten run in consecutive away games for the third time this season. Coach Florian Kohfeldt will be hoping his side extend this run to three league games on opposition soil without defeat in a season in over a year by improving on his already strong personal record in head-to-head clashes against Freiburg (G3, E4, P1).
Players to watch: All of Vincenzo Grifo’s five goals in this Bundesliga season have been registered at home, while he also contributed to four goals in his last five meetings against their opponents (one goal, three assists). Coincidentally, each of Max Kruse’s six Bundesliga goals this season have come on opposition soil, including four that have opened his side’s scoring.
Weekend stat: Wolfsburg have failed to win in 38% of their Bundesliga matches in which they have scored first this season (G8, E1, P4).
Freiburg – Wolfsburg FREE TIPS
OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.25
