Bahia vs America MG Prediction & Tips
Bahia and América-MG meet at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match of the 18th round of the Brasileirão Série A. These teams have met only twice recently: on 17-10-2021, ending with a draw (0-0), and on 30-06-2021, ending with América Mineiro winning (3-4). In this match the home factor could play an important role, as both teams have significant differences in results won at home and as a visitor.
The home team is currently in 17th place with 15 points after 3 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew at home to Corinthians by (0-0). In their last match, they drew away to São Paulo (0-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing in front of its fans, since in the last 30 matches it records 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats as a visitor, with 9 goals scored and 17 conceded, against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats at home, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last 8 home league games, Bahia have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, taking 9 points from a possible 24. In their home league games the most frequent score at half-time has been 1-1 (3 in 8 games). In 17 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and never managed to turn the score around.
Bahia has faced many difficulties this season, being in the relegation zone of the Brasileirão. It goes to a direct confrontation in the fight against the bottom of the table, so only victory matters. It must propose the game and not leave spaces for the mining team to surprise. From defense to attack, everything needs to go well, because only then will there be real chances of adding the three points at the end of the ninety minutes.
After 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses, the visiting team is in 19th place, having won 10 points. In the last match, they lost to Palmeiras at home by (1-4), after having drawn away in the previous match against Flamengo by (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing with the support of its fans, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home, they have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 6, with a total of 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last game they played, for the Copa Bridgestone Sul-Americana, they drew with Bragantino at home by (1-1). In their last 8 away league games América-MG have 3 draws and 5 defeats, picking up 3 points out of a possible 24.
For this competition, it has not won as a visitor for 8 games. In their league games as a visitor the most frequent result at half-time was 2-1 (3 in 8 games). The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 9 of the last 10 games, so it has not shown great defensive solidity, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has managed to score in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away games in this competition there is a tendency to score goals, as 6 out of 8 have ended with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 16 games in this competition, they have never managed to turn the game around in the 7 games in which they have conceded the first goal.
América-MG are second-to-last, making it clear that they have limitations and are going through problems in the championship. Talking about needing a win is self-evident, but if they don’t improve their play, it won’t happen. Against Bahia, in addition to having to hold on, it will have to look for alternatives to surprise. Therefore, all sectors will have to play their roles, as this is the most likely way to get points from Bahia.
Bahia – America MG FREE TIPS
Bahia – Win @ 2.25
