Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Tips
Atalanta and Sturm clash at the Gewiss Stadium in a Europa League match (Group Stage). The home factor could play a decisive role in this match, as Sturm have shown differences in performance in their home and away games.
After 2 wins and 1 draw, the home side are currently in 1st place with 7 points. In their last match, they drew (2-2) away to Sturm Graz, having won (1-2) away to Sporting CP in the previous match. This is a team little affected by the home factor, i.e. they have similar results home and away, as in their last 30 matches they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats as visitors, with 24 goals scored and 22 conceded, compared to 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats at home, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded. Atalanta have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 home games in all competitions. Their attack has scored regularly, scoring in 9 of their last 10 games. In their home games there is a tendency for goals, as 18 of their last 21 games have ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 15 games, they have never managed to turn the game around in the 4 games in which they conceded the first goal.
Atalanta come into this game on the back of a 1-2 defeat at Inter Milan in the Italian league. Last time out in the Europa League, they drew 2-2 against Sturm Graz. The home side usually play in a 3-5-2 formation, favoring a faster style of play, with the two most advanced players being Ademola Lookman and Luis Muriel. Midfielder Teun Koopmeiners is largely responsible for creating and organizing the attack. El Bilal Touré and José Luis Palomino are both out of action with fitness problems.
The away team are currently in 3rd place with 4 points after 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they won away to Raków Częstochowa (0-1). In their last match, they drew 2-2 at home to Atalanta. This is a team that has curiously been stronger away than at home, as in the last 30 games it has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats as a visitor; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats at its stadium. In their last Bundesliga match, they lost 3-1 away to LASK Linz. In their last 10 away games, Sturm have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2. They have allowed their opponents to score in 7 of their last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, scoring in 9 of their last 10 games. There is a tendency for goals to be scored in their away games, as 25 of their last 27 games have ended with more than 1.5 goals and 18 out of 27 have ended with more than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they’ve conceded the first goal 6 times but managed to turn the game around 2 times. In their last 12 away games in all competitions, 1 period stands out: they’ve conceded 7 of their 14 goals between the hour mark (31′-45′).
The Sturm Graz team go into this match on the back of a 3-1 defeat at LASK in the Austrian league. In their last Europa League match, the visitors drew 2-2 against Atalanta. The away side will be playing with a different tactical set-up to their “enemy”, adopting a 4-4-2 formation geared towards organized attacks. The two most advanced players in this formation will be Manprit Sarkaria and Szymon Wlodarczyk. Stefan Hierländer is suspended for the game, as are Otar Kiteishvili and Seedy Jatta, who are both out with fitness problems.
Atalanta – Sturm Graz FREE TIPS
OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.25
