Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin Prediction & Tips
Borussia Dortmund’s 3-1 win over already relegated Greuther Fürth on the final matchday mathematically secured second place in the Bundesliga — their sixth runner-up finish in the last ten seasons. While there is nothing at stake for the hosts in this match, it will be Dortmund striker Erling Haaland’s chance to bid a final farewell to Signal Iduna Park and the famous “Yellow Wall” before departing for Manchester City.
Haaland has contributed to significant entertainment on Dortmund soil of late, as seven of his last eight home games produced at least five goals (G4, P4). That sets this clash up for a potentially exciting affair, particularly as Dortmund is the only team in Europe’s top five leagues not to record a home draw this season (G12, P4). Incredibly, those home games have also registered 4.81 goals per game – the highest average in the Bundesliga.
A 2-1 loss to Mainz on the final day means that Hertha Berlin’s fight for survival comes down to this final matchday. With a three-point cushion, but a considerably worse goal difference (-33) than Stuttgart (-19) heading into the final day, Hertha must do everything possible to get at least a point from this game or else all eyes will turn to the action at the Mercedes-Benz Arena in Stuttgart.
Despite the onus being on the visitors to get a result, Hertha are still priced as “underdogs”. Alarmingly, Hertha have a worse unbeaten percentage as “underdogs” before a Bundesliga game (35%) than all but Dortmund. Adding further doubt to Hertha’s survival struggle is the fact that only three sides have a lower away points record than Felix Magath’s side (G3, E3, P10), suggesting that their battle to avoid the drop will last until the very end.
Players to watch: Erling Haaland leaves Dortmund with the record for both the fastest player (50 games) and the youngest player to reach 50 Bundesliga goals. Now with 61 Bundesliga goals, he looks to leave on the back of his four goals in three games against Hertha. Marco Richter, meanwhile, will be looking to repeat his second-half brace in Hertha’s 3-2 win in the first meeting between the two clubs in this Bundesliga campaign.
Key stat: Hertha are currently on the longest losing streak on a final matchday among the Bundesliga’s 18 teams (P5).
Dortmund – Hertha Berlin FREE TIPS
Hertha Berlin- Win @ 5.25
