Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips
Mainz and Freiburg face at OPEL ARENA, in a match for the 25 th round of the Bundesliga. Mainz 05 won away by (1‑3) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 22‑11‑2020. At this stadium, the head ‑ to ‑ head history favors the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 18‑01‑2020, in a match for the Bundesliga, Freiburg won by (1‑2). The goals of the match were scored by J. Mateta (82 ‘) for Mainz and by Kwon Chang ‑ Hoon (28’) and N. Petersen (41 ‘) for Freiburg. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
The home team is currently in 17th place, with 17 points won, after 4 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to Augsburg by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied for Schalke 04 by (0‑0). This is a team that, curiously, has more positive results away than at home, since in the last 30 matches they have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded, against 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats at home, with 14 goals scored and 27 conceded. In the last 10 home matches for the championship, Mainz has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, having won 8 points out of 30 possible. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, as he has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 12 matches for the competition have ended ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 24 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 14 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 12 home matches for this competition, there are 2 periods that stand out: they scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (31’ ‑ 45 ‘); conceded 7 of his 20 goals between minutes (76’ ‑ 90 ‘).
Mainz heads into this match after a 0-0 draw away from home, against Schalke. One of the main qualities of the home team is the way they manage to regain possession of the ball, and the pressure exerted is extremely effective. The home team usually plays in a 5-3-2 tactical system, favoring a slower style of play. In this drawing, the two players responsible for causing a panic in the opposing defense are Ádám Szalai and Jonathan Burkardt. Coach Bo Svensson should not be able to count on Karim Onisiwo and Edimilson Fernandes for being injured.
The visiting team is currently in 8th place, with 34 points won, after 9 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won away to Bayer Leverkusen by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost at home to RB Leipzig by (0‑3). This is a team that, curiously, has more positive results away than at home, since in the last 30 games they have registered 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses as a visitor, with a total of 24 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home, he won 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, with a total of 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the league, Freiburg won 12 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their league matches as a visitor, the most frequent result at half-time was 0‑0 (4 out of 11 games). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, as he has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 24 matches in this competition, he suffered the first goal 10 times and only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard.
Friburgo comes unmotivated for this match after a home defeat, by 0-3, receiving Leipzig. Contrary to the “enemy” of this round, the visiting team must play in a 4-4-2 tactical system, with the objective of using the central corridor to invest in the offensive process. In this scheme, the four players who will occupy the midfield area are: Vincenzo Grifo, Baptiste Santamaria, Nicolas Hofler and Jonathan Schmid. In any case, it is expected that Friborg will adopt a more defensive stance, taking into account that it has a squad of slightly inferior quality. The Freiburg coach will not be able to count on Chang-hoon Kwon and Mark Flekken for being handed over to the medical department.
Mainz – Freiburg FREE TIPS
Mainz – Win @ 2.25
Both teams to score / YES @ 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90