Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta (Pick, Prediction, Preview)

Ponte Preta may be having the better overall season but this game looks more likely to go the way of Sport. With 6 games to go, we are getting to that point where a few teams have precious little left to play for and can sometimes offer rich pickings for more motivated sides. Ponte Preta might just fall into that category right now as they are drifting along in mid-table towards a solid mid-table finish, so in that respect it’s not a bad game for relegation-threatened Sport Recife to have at this point.

The visitors are poor travellers too which makes Sport look even more likely to bag all three points here. Ponte Preta have lost their last three away games to nil, conceding 7 times in the process and are without a win in 11 away matches in all competitions. The only league away games they’ve won this term have been against the bottom two and they average a miserable 0.63 points per game on their travels this season.

Sport Recife by contrast are quite strong at home and almost all of their best performances this season have come in Recife. 78% of their points have come at their home ground where they average a solid 1.81 points per game and they’ve won 50% of their home matches overall, which again is very good for a side just 1 place above the drop-zone.

They’ve won 3 of their last 5 at home in the league too so they come into this in reasonable form and their performances at the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho might just be what keeps them up. With Ponte Preta not really having an awful amount to play for and not great away from home, backing Sport Recife to Win at 3/4 looks to offer the best value here.

Ponte Preta won 2-1 when the sides met earlier in the season. Sport were unbeaten in 5 games against them prior to that.

Ponte Preta have lost 62% of their away games in the league this season. Sport Recife average 1.88 goals per game at home. Both teams have scored in 62% of their home matches.