Ajax vs Brighton Prediction & Tips
Ajax and Brighton clash at the Amsterdam ArenA in a Europa League (Group Stage) match. Special attention needs to be paid to the home/away condition, as both teams have significantly different results in their home and away games.
After 2 draws and 1 defeat, the home side are currently in 4th place with 2 points. In their last match, they lost (2-0) away to Brighton & Hove Albion, after drawing (1-1) away to AEK Athens in the previous match. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play in front of their own fans, as in their last 30 matches they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats as visitors, with 21 goals scored and 36 conceded, compared to 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats at home, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. The team comes into this game on the back of a 4-1 home win over SC Heerenveen. Ajax have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 home games in all competitions. The team hasn’t been very strong defensively, having conceded goals in their last 5 games in this competition. In 15 games, they have never managed to turn the game around in the 7 games in which they have conceded the first goal.
Ajax enter this round of the Europa League motivated after a fine 4-1 home win against Heerenveen: Steven Bergwijn, Brian Brobbey and Chuba Akpom scored the winning goals. The home side usually play a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions, mainly through the wings. In this design, the three most advanced men, responsible for causing panic in the opposing defense should be Steven Bergwijn, Brian Brobbey and Steven Berghuis. Coach John van ‘t Schip won’t be able to count on Amourricho van Axel Dongen, Sivert Mannsverk, Jay Gorter and Gerónimo Rulli as they are currently out with medical problems.
The away team are currently in 2nd place with 4 points after 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they drew away to Olympique Marseille (2-2). In their last match, they won 2-0 at home to Ajax. This is a stronger team when they play in their own stadium, as in the last 30 games they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats in their own stadium. The team comes into this match on the back of a 1-1 draw away to Everton. In their last 10 away games in all competitions, Brighton have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5. They have allowed their opponents to score in 9 of their last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, and they have managed to do so in 9 of their last 10 games. There is a tendency for goals in their games, as in 21 of their last 24 away games there have been more than 1.5 goals and in 18 of the last 24 there have been more than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and only managed to turn the game around once.
Roberto De Zerbi’s side go into this game on the back of a 1-1 draw away to Everton. The away side usually play a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions, mainly through the wings. In this design, the three men who aim to create and finish goal-scoring situations are Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson and Simon Adingra. It should be noted that Brighton have a very interesting weapon: the creation of several opportunities for long-range shots. The visiting coach won’t be able to count on striker Julio Enciso as he is currently recovering from a torn meniscus.
Ajax – Brighton FREE TIPS
OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.25
